Loans to individuals, France 2021Sep
Published on 3 November 2021
New housing loan originations remained high in September and are expected to remain so in October, despite a slight deceleration.
- The annual growth rate of outstanding loans to individuals stood at a high level in September (+5.9% after 6.0% in August), still supported by the "housing loans" component (+6.6%, after +6.7% in August). The trend observed in September is in line with the leading indicator signal published on 1st October.
- The growth rate of consumer credit - which takes into account cost-splitted payments granted by credit institutions - decelerated slightly (+2.6%, after +2.8% in August).
- Home loan production amounts 22.1 billion in September (18.2 billion excluding renegotiated loans), after 23.7 billion in August.
- Interest rates on new housing loans stabilised at 1.13%, near its lowest point.
- The nowcasting shows production of 19.7 billion of housing loans for October, in line with a gradual deceleration trend, while remaining at a higher level than at the beginning of 2021. The interest rate on new loans would remain at an historicaly low level.
Outstanding amounts and annual growth rates (without seasonal adjustment) ![]()
(Outstanding amounts in EUR Bn, annual growth rate in %)
| End-of-month level | Annual growth rate | ||||
| Sept- 2021 | Jul-2021 | Aug-2021 | Sept- 2021 | ||
| Total | 1,418 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.9 | |
| Lending for house purchase | 1,194 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 6.6 | |
| Credit for consumption | 193 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 2.6 | |
| Other lending | 31 | -1.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | |
Housing loans to individuals (seasonally adjusted) ![]()
(In billion euros)
Credit for consumption (seasonally adjusted) ![]()
(In billion euros)
Production of new loans (excluding overdrafts, monthly flows seasonally adjusted (a))![]()
(volumes in billion euros, proportion in percentage)
| May-2021 | Jun-2021 | Jul- 2021 | Aug-2021 (e) | Sept- 2021 (f) | Oct-21 (g) | |
| - loans for consumption purposes (b) | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.6 | |
| - housing loans | 26.0 | 25.6 | 24.4 | 23.7 | 22.1 | 19.7 |
| of which housing loans excluding renegotiations | 20.9 | 21.2 | 20.3 | 19.6 | 18.2 | |
| - proportion of renegotiation (not seasonally adjusted) in % (c) | 19.3 | 17.0 | 16.7 | 17.4 | 18.0 |
Interest rates on new loans (narrow defined effective rate, monthly average)![]()
(in %)
| May-2021 | Jun-2021 | Jul- 2021 | Aug-2021 (e) | Sept- 2021 (f) | Oct-21 (g) | |
| - housing loans | 1.15 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| of which housing loans long term and fixed rates | 1.14 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.13 | |
| of which housing loans short term or floating rates | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.22 | |
| of which housing loans excluding renegotiations | 1.10 | 1.09 | 1.08 | 1.09 | 1.09 | |
| - loans for consumption purposes (b) | 3.61 | 3.46 | 3.44 | 3.56 | 3.43 | |
| - overdrafts for individuals (d) | 5.16 | 4.96 | 4.90 | 4.97 | 5.15 |
(a) Parameters for seasonal adjustment are updated each month, taking into account monthly data under review.
(b) Excluding revolving loans. Loans for splitted-cost payments (mainly "loans granted on market place" and "extended credit-card credits" are included into consumption loans.
(c) Ratio of renegotiated loans on housing loans, both not seasonally adjusted
(d) Overdrafts: negative balance of ordinary accounts + commercial credits + factoring + cash credits without fixed repayment schedule (including mobilization of revolving loans).
(e) Revised data
(f) Provisional data
(g) Nowcasting
(b) Excluding revolving loans. Loans for splitted-cost payments (mainly "loans granted on market place" and "extended credit-card credits" are included into consumption loans.
(c) Ratio of renegotiated loans on housing loans, both not seasonally adjusted
(d) Overdrafts: negative balance of ordinary accounts + commercial credits + factoring + cash credits without fixed repayment schedule (including mobilization of revolving loans).
(e) Revised data
(f) Provisional data
(g) Nowcasting
Interest rates on housing loans, all maturities![]()
(Narrowly defined effective rate, average weighted by long and short term flows, in %)
Share of renegotiated loans in new housing loans ![]()
(Monthly seasonally adjusted new loans in € Bn, share in %)
Additional information
Only loans granted to individuals (households excluding sole proprietors and unincorporated partnerships) by resident monetary financial institutions are presented here.
The outstanding growth rates are calculated from monthly changes in stocks (including sales and securitization) by correcting from modifications that do not reflect economic changes, especially, the accounting derecognition of loans from the MFI's statistical balance sheet due to write-offs/write-downs. Conversely, exchange rate effects are taken into account without any change for technical reasons.
Monthly growth rates are those of new loans agreed, i.e. disbursed. Nevertheless, new loan production represents new loans granted, even when they are not actually disbursed to the borrower, in accordance with the Eurosystem harmonised methodology, which aims to provide the public with an indicator that rapidly reflects changes in loan production. For this reason, the production of new loans differs from monthly changes in outstanding loans. Indeed, on the one hand, outstanding loans are recorded after the effective disbursement of funds and, on the other hand, they are reduced by the amortization of old loans.
The weighted average rates and new business volumes are calculated according to the harmonized definitions of the Eurosystem. Published rates are the narrowly defined effective rate (NDER). They correspond to the interest component of the Annual Percentage Rate of Charge (APRC). Renegotiated loans also include external mortgage repurchases.
As of October 1st, 2021, the Banque de France start offering a nowcasting on new business loans and interest rates based on a model which takes into account market conditions (reference interest rate, property transfer duties...) and the past values of the estimated variables. The absolute nowcasting deviation is on average 0.6 billion euros over the long term, i.e. 3% of the average gross flow; it was 1.3 billion for September 2021, i.e. 5.6%. For interest rates, the absolute deviation is 1 basis point on average (this is also the deviation observed for September).
The outstanding growth rates are calculated from monthly changes in stocks (including sales and securitization) by correcting from modifications that do not reflect economic changes, especially, the accounting derecognition of loans from the MFI's statistical balance sheet due to write-offs/write-downs. Conversely, exchange rate effects are taken into account without any change for technical reasons.
Monthly growth rates are those of new loans agreed, i.e. disbursed. Nevertheless, new loan production represents new loans granted, even when they are not actually disbursed to the borrower, in accordance with the Eurosystem harmonised methodology, which aims to provide the public with an indicator that rapidly reflects changes in loan production. For this reason, the production of new loans differs from monthly changes in outstanding loans. Indeed, on the one hand, outstanding loans are recorded after the effective disbursement of funds and, on the other hand, they are reduced by the amortization of old loans.
The weighted average rates and new business volumes are calculated according to the harmonized definitions of the Eurosystem. Published rates are the narrowly defined effective rate (NDER). They correspond to the interest component of the Annual Percentage Rate of Charge (APRC). Renegotiated loans also include external mortgage repurchases.
As of October 1st, 2021, the Banque de France start offering a nowcasting on new business loans and interest rates based on a model which takes into account market conditions (reference interest rate, property transfer duties...) and the past values of the estimated variables. The absolute nowcasting deviation is on average 0.6 billion euros over the long term, i.e. 3% of the average gross flow; it was 1.3 billion for September 2021, i.e. 5.6%. For interest rates, the absolute deviation is 1 basis point on average (this is also the deviation observed for September).
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Updated on 3 November 2021