Transition risk losses alone unlikely to threaten EU financial stability, “Fit-For-55” climate stress test shows

The European Supervisory Authorities (EBA, EIOPA, and ESMA – the ESAs) together with the European Central Bank (ECB), today released the results of the one-off “Fit-For-55” climate scenario analysis. Under the scenarios examined, transition risks alone are unlikely to threaten financial stability. However, when transition risks are combined with macroeconomic shocks, they can increase losses for financial institutions and may lead to disruptions. This calls for a coordinated policy approach to financing the green transition and the need for financial institutions to integrate climate risks into their risk management in a comprehensive and timely manner. 

Published on the 19th of November 2024

Objectives

The European Commission invited the ESAs and the ECB to assess the impact on the EU banking, investment fund, occupational pension fund and insurance sectors of three transition scenarios incorporating the implementation of the Fit-for-55 package, as well as the potential for contagion and amplification effects across the financial system. The European Union’s Fit-for-55 package aims to stimulate investment and innovation in the transition to a green economy and plays a crucial role in the EU’s goal to achieve an emissions’ reduction of 55% by 2030 and climate neutrality by 2050. It aims to bring EU legislation in line with these goals with a set of policies that include – among others – the EU emissions trading system, the carbon border adjustment mechanism, sector-specific emissions targets, as well as revisions to the renewable energy and energy efficiency directive.

Updated on the 19th of November 2024